> But the markets think everything is... fine? So... what are we missing here?
The current rally is extremely narrow, mostly just AI/Big Tech and chip stocks. But yeah, the "market" appears to believe that this will all be over soon, which seems unlikely to me.
> I am now very skeptical of any so called 'wage price spiral'
The wage-price spiral now happens when people move. I've definitely noticed that average salaries for my role (data person) have increased singificantly since 2020 or so.
> And they do it as part of ReAct loops. If the tool fails to run, code assistants can troubleshoot problems on the fly and adapt how to call then tool until they reach the goal.
Yeah, but fundamentally all of this is implemented as next token prediction, given the context (which the tool results are).
Honestly, it's pretty amazing how much we can do with next token prediction, but that's essentially all that's happening here.
Yeah, this is a totally normal thing that businesses do (particularly for complicated technology). However, the dysfunctions of many companies make these kinds of people far more powerful than they should be.
I mean, to be fair to OpenAI and this approach, new general purpose technologies (like LLMs) are normally pretty hard to work with at first.
Look at electricity in factories and how long it took to have an impact, as well as the massive, massive lag between Visicalc and economy wide productivity increases.
I personally do believe that the foundation model companies are a terrible business, but that the technology itself is definitely useful (even if it's vastly unlikely to go full Singularity).
> I did not advocate for a Western-backed dictatorship. The false choice you're presenting (Islamic republic vs Western puppet state) isn't the one Iranians are making. Iranians are not asking for a Western-backed dictatorship. Iranians are saying "stop spending our money blowing up the Middle East and end this pointless forever war with Israel". Iranians want a different foreign policy.
I think that your post could certainly have been read that way. Like, the regime of the Shah was also hated by lots of Iranians (hence the revolution). Leaving out that context is somewhat misleading.
I agree with you that lots of Iranians want change (and I'd love to see it for them), but bombing people is rarely an effective strategy for removing regimes you don't like (has it ever worked? Maybe Serbia I suppose).
It would be great if Israel/US/Iran all had friendly relations, but the most recent war is likely to make that much less likely, unfortunately.
That's how the date is determined, it's the third Sunday of Lent, "mothering sunday". Hence why the date changes every year (as the dates of Lent move because Easter Sunday is the first Sunday after the first full moon after the Equinox).
That is incorrect, the FSF licenses would require Amazon contribute code forward to their users, not back to the project.
Also, Amazon were already contributing code back when these companies changed their licenses, the companies don't care about code contributions, just money.
Thank you! Sometimes I feel like I'm the only one who remembers this. For example, Ireland was a third world country because (theoretically) we were non aligned.
75th percentile pay doesn't go as far as it used to, tbh. I'm on about that in Western Europe and am looking for more as my costs have increased massively.
And even though I could easily move to London (modulo family) I wouldn't as the wages there are much worse for my specialty.
Honestly based on talking to friends and former colleagues I think you're probably underpaying for many Western European markets, TC of 200k is where it's at now.
I'll leave your attitude comments out as I don't have enough context to reply effectively.
The current rally is extremely narrow, mostly just AI/Big Tech and chip stocks. But yeah, the "market" appears to believe that this will all be over soon, which seems unlikely to me.
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